Documents  Decision Records  Risks PRJR-003: Estimate-Driven Schedule Overrun

PRJR-003: Estimate-Driven Schedule Overrun

1 Status

Date Status
02-07-2026 Identified

2 Description

The plan is built from single-point estimates given under pressure. Historical data from the previous two releases shows actual effort running 30 to 50 percent above the estimates, which the current schedule does not absorb.

3 Probability

3

4 Impact

3

5 Response

Reduce: re-estimate the remaining work as focused and safe ranges, plan against the aggregated buffer rather than padding every task, and track buffer consumption weekly.

6 Monitoring

Weekly: buffer consumed versus work completed; entering the last third of the buffer before the last third of the work triggers descoping.